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RED SAGSkills
mediumProduct Manager interview question

Your A/B test finished and the result is not statistically significant. What do you do next?

What the interviewer wants to hear

  • Check test validity: sample ratio, tracking, duration
  • Look at confidence interval and effect size
  • Do not hunt through segments for a win
  • Decide based on cost, risk and strategy
  • Learn: revisit hypothesis, consider qualitative research

Model answer

First I check the test was valid: the traffic split matched the plan, tracking worked and it ran for full weeks with the planned sample size. Then I look at the confidence interval instead of just the p-value. If the interval is narrow around zero, the change probably has little effect. If it is wide, the test was underpowered and we simply do not know. I avoid slicing results into many segments to find a winner, since that produces false positives; any segment idea becomes a new hypothesis. The decision then depends on context: if the change is cheap, low risk and strategically useful, we might ship it anyway; if it adds complexity, we keep the old version. Finally I ask what we learned, possibly run quick user interviews, and design a bolder next experiment.

Can you answer it under time pressure?

Take a timed medium round and get scored on every answer.

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