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mediumProject Manager interview question

How do you estimate effort and timelines for a project?

What the interviewer wants to hear

  • Break work into small pieces using a WBS
  • Involve the people who will do the work
  • Use techniques: analogous, three-point, story points
  • Include risk buffers and dependencies
  • Refine estimates as you learn

Model answer

I start by breaking the work into small, clear pieces using a work breakdown structure, because small tasks are easier to estimate. I always involve the people who will do the work, since their estimates are more accurate and they feel ownership. I use historical data from similar projects where possible, which is analogous estimating. For uncertain tasks I use three-point estimates with optimistic, most likely and pessimistic values. In agile teams we use story points and the team velocity to forecast. Then I map dependencies and the critical path, and add contingency for known risks rather than padding every task. I share estimates as ranges with assumptions, not single fixed numbers, and I refine them as we learn more during the project.

Can you answer it under time pressure?

Take a timed medium round and get scored on every answer.

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